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NHC Update
According to the National Hurricane Center ( in Miami, Florida, as of 5 00 PM ( on July 30 2020 the center of Tropical Storm Isaias was located near latitude 19 5 North, longitude 70 6 West Isaias is moving toward the northwest near 20 mph 31 km/h) and a northwestward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected over the next couple of days.
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NHC Update
According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida, as of 11:00 AM (AST) on July 25, 2020, the center of Tropical Storm Gonzalo was located near latitude 10.5 degrees North, longitude 60.5 degrees West. Gonzalo is moving toward the west near 18 mph (30 km/h). A general westward to west-northwestward motion is expected today and tonight. On the forecast track, Gonzalo will move across the southern Windward Islands this afternoon or evening and over the southeastern Caribbean Sea on Sunday.
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KEY HIGHLIGHTS:
- On 21 January 2020, The World Health Organization (WHO) declared the outbreak of the Novel Coronavirus. Currently WHO IHR Emergency Committee is meeting to discuss possibility of declaring the outbreak A Public Health Emergency of International Concern
- A PHEIC is declared if an extraordinary event poses a public health threat to other nations through the spread of disease and requires a more robust coordinated international response.
- The risk of transmission to the Caribbean is LOW
- WHO, CDC have assessed the risk level low but this may change in coming days based on international spread.
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NHC Update
According to the National Hurricane Center ( in Miami, Florida, as of 8 00 PM ( on July 29 2020 the disturbance was centered near latitude 16 0 North, longitude 66 3 West The system is moving toward the west northwest near 18 mph 30 km/h), and this general motion with a reduction in forward speed is expected over the next few days On the forecast track, the system will continue to pass south of Puerto Rico tonight, near or over Hispaniola on Thursday, near eastern Cuba and the southeastern Bahamas on Friday, and approach the northwestern Bahamas and southern Florida Friday night
Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph 75 km/h) with higher gusts Some increase in strength is forecast through tonight, with weakening likely on Thursday due to land interaction Some restrengthening is possible by this weekend.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical storm is forecast to form tonight
- Formation chance through 48 hours high 90 percent
- Formation chance through 5 days high 90 percent
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NHC UPDATE
According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida, as of 8:00 PM (AST) on July 24, 2020, the center of Tropical Storm Gonzalo was located near latitude 10 degrees North, longitude 56.3 degrees West. Gonzalo is moving toward the west near 18 mph (30 km/h). A general westward to west-northwestward motion is expected over the next two days. On the forecast track, Gonzalo will move across the southern Windward Islands Saturday afternoon or evening and over the eastern Caribbean Sea on Sunday.
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Situation
According to The University of the West Indies Seismic Research Centre (UWI SRC), at this time, the main hazard of focus is related to damage from earthquakes, with aftershocks likely to occur in the next few weeks to months. The potential for a larger magnitude event, along the Punta Montalva fault near the southern boundary of Puerto Rico, cannot be excluded that may have the potential to generate a tsunami. The Pacific Tsunami Warning Centre reported small tsunami waves measuring around 20 centimetres (7.9 inches) were observed to be associated with the M 6.4 event. The SRC acknowledges the Puerto Rico Seismic Network (PRSN) as the lead seismic monitoring agency for Puerto Rico and advises interests in the region to consult the PRSN for detailed updates on the seismic activity in Puerto Rico.
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NHC Update
According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida, as of 5:00 PM (AST) on July 28, 2020, the disturbance was centered near latitude 14.4 North, longitude 55.9 West. The system is moving toward the west-northwest near 23 mph (37 km/h), and this general motion with some slight reduction in forward speed is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the system is expected to move through the Leeward Islands on Wednesday, near or over the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico Wednesday night, and near or over Hispaniola on Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is expected during the next 48 hours, and the system is forecast to become a tropical storm tonight or Wednesday.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development and a tropical storm is forecast to form tonight or Wednesday.
- Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
- Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km) primarily to the northeast of the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
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NHC Update
According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida, as of 5:00 PM (AST) on July 23, 2020, the center of Tropical Storm Gonzalo was located near latitude 9.8 degrees North, longitude 49.4 degrees West. Gonzalo is moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h). A westward to west-northwestward motion with an increase in forward speed is expected through the weekend. On the forecast track, the center of Gonzalo will approach the southern Windward Islands Friday night and
move across the islands Saturday and Saturday evening. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or two, and there is still a chance that Gonzalo could become a hurricane. Weakening is expected after Gonzalo moves into the Caribbean Sea.Gonzalo is a tiny tropical storm, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center.The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).
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National Hurricane Center (NHC) Update
According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida, as at 2:00 PM AST, the center of Tropical Storm Karen was located near latitude 12.7 North, longitude 62.3 West. Karen is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward the northwest is forecast to occur on Monday, followed by a turn toward the north on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Karen will move away from the Windward Islands later today, and then across the eastern Caribbean Sea tonight and Monday. On Tuesday, Karen is expected to approach.
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