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Situation
According to The University of the West Indies Seismic Research Centre (UWI SRC), at this time, the main hazard of focus is related to damage from earthquakes, with aftershocks likely to occur in the next few weeks to months. The potential for a larger magnitude event, along the Punta Montalva fault near the southern boundary of Puerto Rico, cannot be excluded that may have the potential to generate a tsunami. The Pacific Tsunami Warning Centre reported small tsunami waves measuring around 20 centimetres (7.9 inches) were observed to be associated with the M 6.4 event. The SRC acknowledges the Puerto Rico Seismic Network (PRSN) as the lead seismic monitoring agency for Puerto Rico and advises interests in the region to consult the PRSN for detailed updates on the seismic activity in Puerto Rico.
Read more: CDEMA Information Note #1 - Heightened Seismic Activity in the Northern Caribbean
National Hurricane Center (NHC) Update
According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida, as at 2:00 PM AST, the center of Tropical Storm Karen was located near latitude 12.7 North, longitude 62.3 West. Karen is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward the northwest is forecast to occur on Monday, followed by a turn toward the north on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Karen will move away from the Windward Islands later today, and then across the eastern Caribbean Sea tonight and Monday. On Tuesday, Karen is expected to approach.
Read more: CDEMA Information Note #1 - Tropical Storm Karen as of 2:00PM (AST) on September 22nd, 2019
National Hurricane Center (NHC) Update
According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida, as at 5:00 PM AST, the eye of Hurricane Jerry was located near latitude 23.0 N 65.8 W. Jerry is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today. Jerry is forecast to turn northward on Sunday and then gradually accelerate northeastward early next week. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Little overall change in strength is forecast for the next several days, but short-term fluctuations in intensity are possible. Tropical-stormforce winds extend outward up to 80miles (130 km) from the center.
Read more: CDEMA Information Note #2 - Tropical Storm Jerry as of 5:00PM (AST) on September 21st, 2019
National Hurricane Center (NHC) Update
According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida, as at 5:00 PM AST, the eye of Hurricane Jerry was located near latitude 17.5 North, longitude 55.8 West. Jerry is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h). A west- northwest to northwest motion at a decreasing forward speed is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Jerry will move north of the northern Leeward Islands Friday and pass well north of Puerto Rico on Saturday and be well east-northeast of the southwestern Bahamas on Sunday.
Read more: CDEMA Information Note #1 - Hurricane Jerry as of 5:00PM (AST) on September 19th, 2019